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Amusing predictions for perspective on doomerism
#1
Miami Herald article quoting UN's Noel Brown-A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000. Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of "eco-refugees," threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the United Nations U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP. He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the [problem].

Africa crop reduction by 50% in 2020

Various doomsday predictions from population to resources

Predictions on the very first Earth Day 1970

Breakdown of climate (cooling and warming) coverage by the media in the last 100 years

James Hansen and "10 Years"

James Hansen 1988 speech to congress-Where it all began. (pdf) Last page features the graphs he used...including projections to our present time which have not come to pass as predicted.

Hansen et al, 1988 abstract


A little known James Hansen prediction from the late 80s-Concerning sea level rise in New York City

James Hansen 20 years later-Here is Hansen on rant in 2008 that is both scary and hilarious. More doomsday predictions of course.

Hansen prediction for 2009/2010

Article about peak oil predictions

The Origins of Peak Oil Doomerism

A collection of "we will run out of oil" predictions

On climate prediction

More on various failed predictions


Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past

Recent doomsday predictions

87 Failed predictions about the future-My favorite one....Everything that can be invented has been invented.~Charles H. Duell, an official at the US patent office, 1899.

Is Earth near its 'tipping point' from global warming?-USA Today article from 2007...a type of article that may be a relic of the past? (A couple of skeptic actually do receive some brief attention here)

The Legacy of Rachel Carson
#2
Brilliant HarpoSpoke,
great roundup.

Why do I just "know" you'll find so many more...
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed
(and hence clamorous to be led to safety)
by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H. L. Mencken.  

The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that
"they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions.
#3
Since predictions are such an important part of this in particular and doom-saying in general, I've become very interesting in finding as many of the predictions as I can. Smile

The internet could become a real problem for the modern doomsayer. They thrive on people forgetting the failure of their past predictions. Having this stuff in print and widely available could result in many red faces.

I need more Hansen and Gore stuff. Smile
#4
(02-16-2010, 04:08 AM)HarpoSpoke Wrote: Since predictions are such an important part of this in particular and doom-saying in general, I've become very interesting in finding as many of the predictions as I can. Smile

The internet could become a real problem for the modern doomsayer. They thrive on people forgetting the failure of their past predictions. Having this stuff in print and widely available could result in many red faces.

I need more Hansen and Gore stuff. Smile

Good idea!

Big Grin
It is our attitude toward free thought and free expression that will determine our fate. There must be no limit on the range of temperate discussion, no limits on thought. No subject must be taboo. No censor must preside at our assemblies.

–William O. Douglas, U.S. Supreme Court Justice, 1952
#5
HarpoSpoke have you got copies of the emails Hansen used to send out to newspapers / politcians hither and thither. ?
I may have made a file of some of them, I'll have a look, pm me an email address and I'll forward the file or word documents if you want me to.
I downloaded them from his site some time ago meaning to go through them, but err, never got round to it.
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed
(and hence clamorous to be led to safety)
by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H. L. Mencken.  

The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that
"they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions.
#6
(02-16-2010, 12:46 PM)Derek Wrote: HarpoSpoke have you got copies of the emails Hansen used to send out to newspapers / politcians hither and thither. ?
I may have made a file of some of them, I'll have a look, pm me an email address and I'll forward the file or word documents if you want me to.
I downloaded them from his site some time ago meaning to go through them, but err, never got round to it.

I would love to see them of course. Smile I take it he makes some scary predictions?
#7
The other Hansen PP I mentioned. Will not attach too big, I try to break it down, and email.
The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed
(and hence clamorous to be led to safety)
by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.

H. L. Mencken.  

The hobgoblins have to be imaginary so that
"they" can offer their solutions, not THE solutions.




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